September 7, 2011
- During his bleak forecast of the publishing industry at the Edinburgh International Book Festival, novelist Ewan Morrison suggested the rise of the e-book will mean the end of writers as a profession, as piracy and a demand for steep discounts take over the book industry as it has with music, newspapers, games, porn, photography, telecommunications and home video.
- Publishers will no longer be able to provide advances to enable writers to make a decent living and writers will increasingly depend on the “long tail” which cannot support them. Morrison adds that only established writers will prosper.
- In 10 to 15 years, he believes the largest “publishers” will be Google, Amazon and Apple.
- “The writer will become an entrepreneur with a short shelf life, in a world without publishers or even shelves,” predicts Morrison.